5

Zabo

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 95

Woodbine · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 07/09/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS7/09C6C6 @ Santa Anita 14/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/10/2024 · OR 80 parC6 @ Del Mar 17/11/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/11/2024 · OR 77 par17/11C6OR 77C6 @ Santa Anita 19/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2025 · OR 77 parC7 @ Woodbine 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 79 par24/08C7OR 79C6 @ Woodbine 27/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 85 · 1m4f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 85 parC6 @ Woodbine 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 90 · 1m3f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 90 par25/10C6OR 90C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 98 · 1m1f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 98 par11/04C6OR 98projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-11Tampa Bay Downs?4th3rd+1
2025-10-25Woodbine?1st0th+1
2025-09-27Woodbine?3rd2nd+1
2025-08-24Woodbine?1st1st0
2025-04-19Santa Anita?6th5th+1
2024-11-17Del Mar?9th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0919/0425/1011/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20246th9/276%38%-0.39
14/10/20246th11/486%29%-0.57
17/11/20249th33/10%11%+0.11
19/04/20256th14/126%0%-0.26
24/08/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
27/09/20253rd3/184%50%-0.34
25/10/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
11/04/20264th5/174%57%-0.17