IvyArcIvyArc
7

Endrick

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 94

Woodbine · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

84%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 18/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 90 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark18/12/2025 · OR 90 par18/12C8OR 90C8 @ Gulfstream 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 83 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Gulfstream 15/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 6f Slo 121 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 85 par15/03C8OR 85C7 @ Woodbine 24/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 87 par6/06C7OR 87C7 @ Woodbine 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 6f 122 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Woodbine 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 6f110y 124 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 89 par20/07C7OR 89C6 @ Woodbine 23/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 89 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Woodbine 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 91 · 7f Fas 124 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 91 par6/09C7OR 91projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Woodbine?1st2nd−1
2026-08-23Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-20Woodbine?1st2nd−1
2026-06-28Woodbine?1st2nd−1
2026-06-06Woodbine?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-24Woodbine?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1224/0520/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/20254th11/271%25%-0.46
14/02/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
15/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
24/05/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
06/06/20262nd11/893%86%-0.07
28/06/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
20/07/20261st1/398%100%+0.02
23/08/20263rd11/893%67%-0.26
06/09/20261st4/696%100%+0.04