IvyArcIvyArc
1

Indy One

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 91

Woodbine · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 15/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 88 · 6f 123 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 88 par15/08C8OR 88C7 @ Woodbine 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 85 parC7 @ Woodbine 05/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 86 · 6f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 86 par5/10C7OR 86C7 @ Woodbine 31/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 6f 125 · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Woodbine 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 90 · 5f 123 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 90 par19/04C6OR 90C8 @ Woodbine 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 91 · 6f 122 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Woodbine 19/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 93 · 6f110y 121 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 93 par19/07C8OR 93C7 @ Woodbine 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 89 · 5f Fm 125 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 89 parC6 @ Woodbine 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f110y Fm 123 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 88 par29/08C6OR 88projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-08-14Woodbine?6th7th−1
2026-07-19Woodbine?1st3rd−2
2026-05-17Woodbine?4th6th−2
2026-04-19Woodbine?5th5th0
2025-10-31Woodbine?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0831/1019/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
30/08/20253rd6/168%71%+0.03
05/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
31/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
19/04/20265th8/158%0%-0.58
17/05/20264th7/163%67%+0.04
19/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
14/08/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
29/08/20266th25/10%17%+0.17