2
Yacht Boy
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97
Woodbine · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |