2
Keepmypowderdry
3yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 95
Woodbine · Race 9 - Breeders' Stakes · 1m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength88%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |