16:43 · Fort Erie

Race 2 - Claiming

6f 110y3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 70
2/1
Boston Bay silks

Joy Elkins

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Society's Chairman - Heres Mud Inyr Eye (Court Vision)

Da Sean Gaskin60%1/3Joseph Humber
333416
6.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

20/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par20/1027/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%20/10Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%3/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%15/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.7%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 72
5/2
Star Scholar silks

Carpenter, Denise And Simms, John

8yo Gelding · 8-12

Society's Chairman - Call Me Baby (El Nino)

Juan Crawford60%1/6John Simms
314355
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/066/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%21/06Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%27/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%31/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.4%Ahead 1/4
5
3
OR 72
3/1
Globetrotting silks

Colebrook Farms

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Liam's Map - Irene Adler (Bernardini)

Leo Salles60%1/6Kevin Buttigieg60%
771437
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/0621/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%6/06Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%31/08Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.5%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 75
7/2
Bill Needle silks

Joseph Humber

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Distorted Humor - Game (Montjeu)

Steve Jadoo60%Joseph Humber
455265
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0521/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par4/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%31/05Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%20/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%4/09Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%15/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.6%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 66
6/1
Mymathes Correct silks

David Mathes

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Frac Daddy - Lady Sarah (Whywhywhy)

Kirk Johnson2/4Julie Mathes60%
615188
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/0530/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength85%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%25/05Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%12/07Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%10/08Pos 8 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 8 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%15/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.7%Ahead 1/4