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16:05 · Killarney

Spin Southwest Maiden

1m 3f 50yYielding to Soft4YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
4
4/1
Ballybawn Belter silks

John P McManus

Ballybawn Belter

8yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 7

Valirann - Milford Maggie (Milan)

Seamie Heffernan0/2Liz Doyle60%
26
5.0Class ↓7

Useful hurdler/chaser who made an encouraging start on the Flat when second of 13 at Gowran (1¾m, good to soft) last month. Not so good at Listowel later that month (finished with running left despite being considerately handled) and handicaps could be where she flourishes.

Class Advantage

28/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par28/121/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par2/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par4/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼3
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 67%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%28/12Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%2/03Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 92%1/09Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%21/09
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-472/100
9
3
OR 71
8/1
Shemiyka silks

Shemiyka Partnership

Shemiyka

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 3

Night Of Thunder - Shehreen (Iffraaj)

Jamie PowellM O'Callaghan60%
95349
4.0
Visor

Showed improved form when third of 16 in maiden at Galway (1½m, soft) on return in July. Fourth in Sligo claimer just 5 days later but ran poorly back in maiden company at Roscommon (1½m, good to soft) 5 weeks ago. Needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0920/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 40%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%6/09Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%20/10Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 87%31/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 77%5/08Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%1-652/100
6
Market Fav2
OR 70
3/1
Blue Nasturtium silks

Mutual Admiration Society Partnership

Blue Nasturtium

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 5

English Channel - Blue Uluru (Choisir)

Billy Lee60%0/1K J Condon
453
5.0

Best effort in maidens when fourth of 10 at Tramore (1½m, good) on debut. Not living up to her pedigree but she could well figure in this.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/0713/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/0816/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%7/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%13/08Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%16/09
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%2-467/100
3
Top Pick1
OR 72
7/2
Joe Cool silks

Noel Meade Racing Ltd

Joe Cool

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 10

Lightning Spear - Prewar (Dubai Destination)

Adam Caffrey0/3N Meade70%
022409
3.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Posted fairly useful efforts when runner-up in Flat maidens at the Curragh and Bellewstown this spring. Made a successful hurdling debut at Ballinrobe in May but has posted 3 lesser efforts back on the Flat since. A bounce back is needed but every chance that can happen.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0311/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 95%15/03Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%26/05Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%Pos 10 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 10 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 25%1/09Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%6-877/100
4
7
5/1
Navy Guitar silks

James C Wallace

Navy Guitar

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 9

French Navy - D'addario (Galileo)

Diego LimaD Dias
58
2.0

Just modest form over hurdles/on chasing debut for Adrian Murray but ran to a seemingly fair level on Flat bow for new connections at Gowran (1¾m) last month (aided by having the run of the race). Similar form dropped back markedly in trip at Dundalk since.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/0722/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par19/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 50%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 32%28/07Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%19/09Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%1/09Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%18/09
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%1-472/100
10
6
25/1
Tears I Nevercried silks

Paul J Cahill

Tears I Nevercried

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 8

Le Havre - Balzora (Oasis Dream)

Alan Persse−5lbM A Cahill
06
2.0

Failed to improve for the longer trip when well held in a maiden at Roscommon (1½m) second time up back in May. Has since switched yards for just 1,400 gns.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0411/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 1m 3f 50y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 31%9/04Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 55%11/05
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%3-371/100
7
5
OR 61
8/1
Enchanted Lady silks

Francis Campbell

Enchanted Lady

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 2

New Bay - Peloponnese (Montjeu)

Ben Coen70%A Oliver
457970
2.0

Fair maiden who has had excuses the last twice, most recently when badly hampered at Down Royal (10.7f, good) last month. Cheekpieces discarded.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0526/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par3/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par18/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par4/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 1m 3f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 73%11/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%20/06Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%18/08Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 8%4/09
Projected finish7th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
14%2-662/100
8
8
25/1
Nogs silks

J Owens

Nogs

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 6

Success Days - The Castles (Imperial Ballet)

Killian LeonardM J Byrne
No form3.0

Success Days filly. Half-sister to 6f winner Knightfire. Dam, 7f-1½m winner, half-sister to useful winner up to 1¾m Blue Corrig. Likely outsider on debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 80% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength0%