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19:15 · Chepstow

Chepstow Plant International Supports Chepstow Centenary Handicap

6f 16yGoing TBCClass 53YO onlyTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 7110/3
Hallandale Beach silks

AMO Racing Limited

Hallandale Beach

3yo Colt · 9-9

Havana Grey - Marigay's Magic (Rock Of Gibraltar)

D Egan0/2K P De Foy60%
455331
8.0Going 9.0
Tongue strap

Much improved since sent handicapping with the tongue strap applied. Got off the mark in 6-runner handicap over C&D (good to firm) in June, smooth headway into contention and drawing clear final 1f. An 8 lb rise in the weights may not be enough to stop him here.

Class Advantage

26/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/0317/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%26/03Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%25/04Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 78%15/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%27/06
Projected finish1st of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
2
OR 6516/1
Red Snapper silks

Rich Clothier & Jennifer Gray

Red Snapper

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Land Force - Rania (Estidhkaar)

Charlie Tucker70%1/1−7lbKathy Turner60%
262771
6.0
Blinkers

Blinkered for the first time, capitalised on falling mark when winning 10-runner handicap at Salisbury (6f, good, 16/1) 12 days ago, suited by way race developed. Up 3 lb for that.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par17/048/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 16y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%17/04Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 72%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 86%18/05Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%17/07Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%25/07
Projected finish2nd of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 689/2
Pull The Rug silks

The Maximus Syndicate

Pull The Rug

3yo Filly · 9-6

Mehmas - Bungee Jump (Canford Cliffs)

Ray Dawson60%G Harris
157494
4.0Class ↓2

Made the frame twice this season, latest when fourth of 6 in handicap at Windsor (6f, firm) 10 days ago on stable debut having left Edward Bethell, though wasn't seen to best effect. May do better now.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/0917/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%22/09Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%11/05Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%16/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%27/07
Projected finish3rd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 6714/1
Eightthreeone silks

Sheepwash Syndicate

Eightthreeone

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Rumble Inthejungle - Dozen (Mastercraftsman)

Rob Hornby60%0/1Eve Johnson Houghton60%
133265
4.0Going 8.0

Much improved when getting off the mark on handicap debut at Southwell (6f) on reappearance in April. Placed next 3 starts but not in the same form on latest 2 outings. Wouldn't need a great deal more to be involved but it may depend if he's on a going day.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/0421/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%7/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%4/05Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%27/06Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%23/07
Projected finish4th of 4
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend