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14:25 · Wexford

Wexford Racecourse Park Run Beginners Chase

2m 3f 20yGood (Good to Yielding in places)4YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
3
OR 1143/1
Scalpnagoon silks

M J Hanrahan

Scalpnagoon

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Policy Maker - Lady Seymour (Watar)

Josh Williamson60%−5lbG Elliott60%
322342
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Fairly useful over hurdles and has translated that level to chasing, placing for a fifth time when second of 6 at Kilbeggan (25f, good) 29 days ago. Drops back in trip now and capable of being involved if reproducing his best.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/044/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par25/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par8/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par30/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par10/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 2m 3f 20y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%5/04Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%25/05Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%30/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%10/07
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Market FavTop Pick1
11/4
Nadia's Boy silks

Mustafa Elatrash

Nadia's Boy

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Getaway - Just Janice (King's Theatre)

Paul Townend60%1/1W P Mullins60%
11103
6.0Going 8.0

Successful on sole outing in points and likewise made a winning start in bumper and Listowel maiden hurdle. Was unable to repeat that trend on chasing debut but shaped encouragingly when 1¾ lengths third of 6 to Soir De Garde in 2m maiden at this course in June. Step up in trip should suit.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/0626/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/0930/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0430/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 75%Dist: 2m 3f 20y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%26/09Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 10%30/04Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%30/06
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 1147/1
West Away silks

An Dun Racing Syndicate

West Away

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Westerner - Cruisingdownriver (Milan)

Patrick M O'Brien−5lbP E Collins
20P763
5.0

Stopped the slide on debut for new yard when 14½ lengths third of 9 to Queenofthelodge in C&D maiden chase on return but needs to build on that if he's to feature.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/066/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a25/10 · C3 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par29/11 · C12 · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par26/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par22/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 2m 3f 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%16/06Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 31%25/10Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 68%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 55%26/12Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%22/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
OR 12228/1
William Tell silks

O D Kueres

William Tell

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Malinas - Easter Bonnie (Milan)

Peter Smithers1/3−7lbD H Kelly60%
6972U5
3.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Dual winning hurdler who was a promising second on chase debut in 2m maiden at this course in June. Has been held back by jumping both outings since, though, and needs to cut out the errors if he's to fulfil his potential in this sphere.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par20/1120/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par11/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par7/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par30/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 83%Dist: 2m 3f 20y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%20/11Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%11/05Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%30/06Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%28/07
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 11225/1
Jackson Lamb silks

The 119 Partnership

Jackson Lamb

7yo Gelding · 11-12

El Salvador - Aegean Memories (Haafhd)

Alex Harvey3/9J C McConnell60%
110P75
3.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Won a Bellewstown maiden hurdle and novice at Kelso last season. Hasn't cut much ice in trio of maiden chases to date and is probably one for handicaps later on.

Class Advantage

14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0727/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par24/10 · C1 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par3/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 83%Dist: 2m 3f 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%14/07Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%17/09Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%3/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%22/07
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
6
66/1
Kelya silks

K Haughey

Kelya

6yo Mare · 11-5

Kapgarde - Toccata Vallis (Ballingarry)

Donagh MeylerE Mullins
352137
3.0

Fair winning hurdler in France. Stiff task when down the field in Grade 3 novice hurdle on debut for current connections but bred to make a better chaser and will be one to note should the market speak in her favour on chasing bow, with the yard currently in good order.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0830/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/1013/03 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a13/03projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 2m 3f 20y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%18/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%30/10Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%13/03
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend