18:18 · Kilbeggan

Smiddys Pub Mullingar Handicap Chase

3m 1f 50yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 1033/1
Anodandawink silks

John P McManus

5yo Gelding · 11-8

Maxios - Wink Wink (Galileo)

Peter Smithers−7lbCiaran Murphy60%
003921
8.0Going 7.0
Cheek pieces

Offered something to work on when second of 6 in novice chase at Downpatrick (3m, good to firm, 5/1) on debut over fences and produced a good round of jumping to go one place better in a 15-runner handicap chase at Wexford (25f, good to firm, 3/1) 17 days ago. Up 10 lb but open to improvement.

Class Advantage

9/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0126/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par22/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 46%9/01Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 87%24/04Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%13/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%22/07
Projected finish1st of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Market Fav4
OR 895/2
Zolpharine silks

John Patrick Ryan

8yo Gelding · 10-8

Yeats - Flite (Flemensfirth)

Daniel King60%2/5J P Ryan
750511
7.0

Confirmed the promise of his previous run when readily landing a first win over fences at Limerick last month and had little fuss following up in 16-runner handicap hurdle at Tramore (2¾m, good) 71 days ago. Had plenty in hand then and is respected despite jumping remaining a slight concern.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par29/0112/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par26/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par21/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%29/01Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 23%26/03Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%21/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%29/05
Projected finish2nd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 8933/1
Mistyburn silks

Nice Little Earner Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 10-8

Policy Maker - Queen Althea (Bach)

Simon Torrens60%0/1P J Rothwell60%
731663
7.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Landed 16-runner handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan in April, albeit looking a fortunate winner (left in front last). Produced his best effort to date over fences when coming from a long way back to finish third of 18 in handicap chase at Galway (23f, good to soft) 6 days ago.

Class Advantage

14/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/0219/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par6/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par2/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 50y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 14%14/02Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%24/04Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%6/07Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 88%2/08
Projected finish3rd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
2
OR 1079/1
Kings Jet silks

Nice But Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Jet Away - Court Gamble (King's Theatre)

Ricky Doyle60%C W J Farrell80%
162PU0
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Surprise winner on Rules debut in maiden hunter at Down Royal in May but no form under Rules since, dropping away tamely when eleventh of 18 in handicap chase (9/1) at Galway (23f, good to soft) 6 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0521/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/112/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%5/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%21/11Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 41%2/08
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 8728/1
The Little Yank silks

Bitview Partnership

11yo Gelding · 10-6

Westerner - Long Walk Home (Presenting)

Michael Kenneally0/1−5lbJ P Ryan60%
1PPPP3
7.0
Blinkers

Veteran who ended a losing run at Clonmel in January. Lost way thereafter (pulled up next 4 starts) but he resumed from a 3-month break with a good third of 15 in handicap hurdle at this course (25f, good) 29 days ago, his best work coming at the finish. Now reverts to chasing.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par21/112/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/12 · mark par20/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par27/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par8/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above8/01 · mark par10/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 50y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%21/11Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%20/12Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%8/01Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 86%10/07
Projected finish5th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend