17:10 · Lingfield

Hyatt Inclusive Handicap

5f 6yStandardClass 53YO onlyPOLYTRACKHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 669/4
Sunlit Sea silks

Miss K Rausing

3yo Filly · 9-4

Mehmas - Starlit Sands (Oasis Dream)

L Morris80%0/8Sir Mark Prescott80%Course spec.
278411
7.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Much improved when making all in a 3-runner 2m handicap on turf here last month and showed a good attitude to defy a penalty in a 9-runner contest at Thirsk (5f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Leading player from 3 lb higher.

Class Advantage

16/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/12 · mark par16/1230/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/12 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 5f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%16/12Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%15/06Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%24/07
Projected finish1st of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
2
OR 687/2
Guernsey Lady silks

Trevor Gallienne & David Evans

3yo Filly · 9-6

Coulsty - Grandee Daisy (Sepoy)

J F Egan60%1/3P D Evans60%
834732
6.0Class ↓5

Encouraging third at Bath on return and backed that up with another solid second in 8-runner handicap at Ffos Las (5f) in June. That form hasn't really worked out but she has at least been dropped another 1 lb.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/0823/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par9/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par31/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 5f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%18/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%9/10Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%22/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%4/06
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
3
OR 6822/1
Carefree Dream silks

Mr W Hamer

3yo Filly · 9-6

Dream Ahead - Blithe Spirit (Byron)

Taylor Fisher60%0/3J S Moore
052246
5.0

Good efforts when runner-up in back-to-back 5f handicaps at Goodwood earlier this summer and ran creditably upped to 6f at Leicester on her penultimate start. Below that level when sixth of 9 in handicap (22/1) at Ascot (5f, good to firm) 15 days ago but drops back in grade now.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par17/044/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%17/04Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%12/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 70%4/07Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 38%24/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 6710/1
Wyle Cop silks

Mr D R Passant

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Omaha Beach - True Egyptian (Pioneerof The Nile)

Jason Watson70%Jack Jones60%
009355
3.0Going 9.0Class ↓4
Blinkers

Off the mark in 6f Wolverhampton maiden on return in March and back to form this summer, finishing a respectable fifth at Newbury early last month. However, he seemed outpaced dropped back to the minimum trip at Doncaster 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par16/048/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 5f 6y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%16/04Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%29/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 64%9/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%18/07
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 6711/2
Go Lockers Go silks

Middleham Park Racing D Turner B Rober

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Ardad - Sayyedati Lady (Frankel)

Ross CoakleyM L W Bell60%
112258
4.0

Made a winning return over 6f at Chelmsford in March and followed up at Yarmouth (5f) a month later. Good efforts when runner-up next 2 outings, before meeting trouble at the start when mid-field at Thirsk (6f) early last month. Seemingly had no excuses when down the field at Newcastle last week.

Class Advantage

26/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par26/0328/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par9/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 5f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%26/03Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%9/05Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%1/07Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%31/07
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 6716/1
Arctic Wind silks

G & A Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Ardad - Cool Kitten (One Cool Cat)

Callum HutchinsonP D Evans80%
263337
4.0

Fair form at 2 yrs for David Menuisier but yet to fully find his best form for current connections, albeit caught rather wide when seventh of 11 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 37 days ago.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/0718/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par8/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 5f 6y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%16/07Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%9/10Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%4/06Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%2/07
Projected finish6th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend