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14:47 · Redcar

Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

5fGoing TBCClass 33YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 779/2
Sports Coach silks

Johnson & Morrow

Sports Coach

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Bungle Inthejungle - Jackie Sparrow (Dandy Man)

Cam Hardie70%1/11A Brittain60%
869822
6.0Class ↓2

Runner-up in lower grade races last 2 starts, bumping into a subsequent winner at Newcastle on the all-weather in June before second of 17 at York 14 days ago. Yet to win on turf but could take a hand in current heart.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/0514/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par23/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 22%2/05Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 47%23/05Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 91%26/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 94%25/07
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Value2
OR 8450/1
Spring Is Sprung silks

John Blackburn & Partner

Spring Is Sprung

7yo Gelding · 9-3

Oasis Dream - Kinematic (Kyllachy)

D Nolan0/3P T Midgley60%
474320
5.0Class ↓2

Second at York in July after third of 9 over C&D in June and easily excused latest effort when poorly drawn in a higher grade at Goodwood. Should prove more at home here.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par9/0417/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par20/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par28/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 40%9/04Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 81%31/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 91%10/07Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 32%28/07
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 8428/1
Fidelius silks

Duncan Smith & John Toes

Fidelius

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Harry Angel - Peace Dreamer (Sir Prancealot)

Alex Jary60%−3lbN Tinkler80%
212560
3.0

Won for Robert Cowell at Lingfield in March but has gone the wrong way since and now starts out for a new yard with something to prove back on turf.

Class Advantage

21/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par21/025/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par9/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par4/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par22/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par26/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%21/02Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%9/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%22/05Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 8%26/06
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 9522/1
Democracy Dilemma silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

Democracy Dilemma

6yo Gelding · 10-0

Cotai Glory - Majestic Alexander (Bushranger)

T Eaves60%2/5R M H Cowell80%
309604
4.0Class ↓2
Visor

Very well treated nowadays and ran creditably when fourth of 23 at Goodwood 11 days ago. Now drops markedly in grade and could well dominate this small field so this looks an excellent opportunity to resume winning ways.

Class Advantage

21/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par21/024/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par1/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par18/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par6/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par28/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%21/02Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 8%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%1/05Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 20 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 20 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%6/06Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 86%28/07
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 8112/1
Rosenpur silks

Brian Verinder & Alan Baxter

Rosenpur

6yo Gelding · 9-0

Pour Moi - Rosenreihe (Catcher In The Rye)

Darragh Keenan60%1/1J Candlish60%
615649
3.0
Hood

Won at Chester over 6f in May and, though winless in 4 subsequent runs, all at that track, he didn't get a fair crack of the whip when ninth of 11 from outside stall last time. Could be a player if proving as effective here.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/048/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%29/04Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%13/06Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%10/07Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%25/07
Projected finish5th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend