16:10 · Thistledown

Race 1 - Best Of Ohio Pay The Man Stakes

1m 1f3YO plusDIRT9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 9311/4
Candlelight Hours silks

Elkhorn Oaks, Inc

7yo Mare · 8-11

Dominus - Nava (Even The Score)

T Houghton9/21James Jackson60%
133122
8.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/084/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par25/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par22/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par7/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 71%25/10Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 86%7/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%14/07
Projected finish1st of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market Fav3
OR 846/5
Silver Kiss silks

Vigil, Alan, Boots N Bikinis Llc And Blue Snow Racing Stables

4yo Filly · 8-11

Blofeld - Justgimmeakiss (Congrats)

Chelsey Keiser60%5/5David Wolochuk70%
113D51
9.0

Class Advantage

17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a17/0610/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par26/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/10 · mark par13/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%10/08Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%26/10Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%13/05Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%13/07
Projected finish2nd of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
2
OR 8715/2
Lionistic silks

Annechino Racing Llc

7yo Mare · 8-11

Animal Kingdom - Race Lady (Bernardini)

Luis Rivera60%8/18Jeffrey Radosevich60%
514122
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/01 · mark par6/019/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/02 · mark par24/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par7/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par22/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par7/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par7/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%6/01Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%24/03Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%22/04Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%7/05
Projected finish3rd of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 868/1
La Artista silks

Thorobeam Farm

4yo Filly · 8-11

Klimt - Eye'll Be Fine (Montbrook)

Scott Spieth60%1/1S Kintz
223813
7.0

Class Advantage

25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/064/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par21/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par22/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par23/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%25/06Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 83%15/09Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%22/11Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%23/06
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 8610/3
Here's The Spider silks

Executive Management Llc

5yo Mare · 8-11

Tapiture - Richmond Spider (Union Rags)

Luis Batista60%0/1Edward Fernandez70%
449235
5.0Class ↓4
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/0731/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par23/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par25/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%6/07Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%14/08Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%25/10Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%8/07
Projected finish5th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
9
OR 499/2
Jac's Cocoabella silks

Robert Donald

3yo Filly · 8-7

Jac's Fact - Spit's Image (Mobil)

David Haldar60%Ivan Vazquez
1D7346
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

19/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/02 · mark par19/0212/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par31/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/03 · mark par12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%19/02Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%31/03Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%28/05Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%15/06
Projected finish6th of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
5
OR 7725/1
Banana Pudding silks

Irish Charm Thoroughbreds Llc

5yo Mare · 8-11

Enticed - Pyrite Storm (Formal Dinner)

Jose Bracho70%5/15Gary Johnson60%
251533
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

16/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par16/037/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par28/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par27/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par16/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%16/03Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%28/04Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 67%16/06Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%13/07
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
6
OR 7513/2
Derby Day Kiss silks

Bryan Metz

5yo Mare · 8-11

Klimt - Derby Day Storm (Habayeb)

Santiago Gonzalez60%Robert Cline60%
433564
4.0

Class Advantage

3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/0924/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par10/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par20/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par16/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/12 · mark par2/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/01 · mark par2/01projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%3/09Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%10/10Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%16/12Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%2/01
Projected finish8th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
8
OR 6015/2
Striking Lady silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

3yo Filly · 8-7

Air Strike - Muttak Bay (Mutakddim)

Jason Simpson60%1/5Ricardo Bailey
366111
5.0

Class Advantage

2/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par2/0316/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/03 · mark par9/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par28/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%2/03Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%9/04Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%11/05Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%28/05
Projected finish9th of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend