18:50 · Thistledown

Race 6 - Allowance

1m3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 749/1
Unchained Spirit silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

3yo Filly · 8-7

Promises Fulfilled - Tiz Cecile (Tiznow)

Humberto Haldar60%−7lbRicardo Bailey60%
337351
8.0

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/042/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%20/04Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%20/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%6/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%27/07
Projected finish1st of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Market Fav3
OR 841/1
Creator Of Magic silks

Jerry Jamgotchian

4yo Filly · 8-7

Good Magic - Ullapool (Langfuhr)

Charle Oliveros60%2/3Eric Reed60%
140121
6.0

Class Advantage

26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a26/0821/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par3/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par3/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/03 · mark par3/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%26/08Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%21/10Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%3/01Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/03Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 67%3/04
Projected finish2nd of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
2
OR 816/1
Vespera silks

Paul Woosley

4yo Filly · 8-7

Volatile - Anyday (Harlan's Holiday)

Luis Rivera60%2/9Jeffrey Radosevich
121544
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/084/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%19/08Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%26/09Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%20/05Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%25/06
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 913/1
Mia's Go silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

3yo Filly · 8-3

Knicks Go - Linada (Anchor Down)

Alexander Chavez60%0/5Nestor Rivera60%
133222
7.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

13/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/032/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%13/03Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%2/05Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%25/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%6/07
Projected finish4th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 839/1
Dos Amores silks

Charlie J Williams Llc

3yo Filly · 8-3

Catholic Boy - Long Leaf (Proud Citizen)

Erik Barbaran0/1Michael Rone
311533
6.0

Class Advantage

6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/0326/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 60%6/03Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%23/04Pos 5 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 5 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%10/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%25/06
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 796/4
Cowgirl Chic silks

Reed Racing Llc And Chappell, Allan

4yo Filly · 8-7

Klimt - Portend (Sky Mesa)

Bailey Weatherly60%Eric Reed60%
1331
6.0

Class Advantage

11/06 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a11/0616/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par16/0223/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/03 · mark par23/03projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 60%16/02Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 60%23/03
Projected finish6th of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend