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14:00 · Uttoxeter

Taverna Nights On Saturday 26th September Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

1m 7f 214yGoodClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 117
1/1
Ice Jet silks

Chris And May Mullin

Ice Jet

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Phoenix Of Spain - Star Jet (Teofilo)

Harry Skelton80%3/7D Skelton60%
1112V2
8.0

Defied a double penalty to land a 10-day hurdles hat-trick at Worcester (2½m) in May and unlucky not to extend his sequence when second on chase debut at this course in July. No disgrace behind a thriving sort at Newton Abbot since and looks the one to beat.

Class Advantage

17/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/03 · mark par17/0312/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par19/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par22/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%17/03Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 100%19/05Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 86%7/07Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 67%22/08
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 113
7/4
Dream Diamond silks

Big Bang Racing

Dream Diamond

6yo Gelding · 11-7

Diamond Boy - Curvacious (Anshan)

J J Burke60%0/4James Owen
3U2336
5.0Going 10.0Class ↓2
Hood

Impressive all-the-way winner of a Worcester novice hurdle on stable debut last summer and back in similar heart when making the frame in handicaps this term. Rare below-par effort latest and warrants respect on chasing bow here.

Class Advantage

5/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par5/0318/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/03 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par10/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%5/03Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 67%12/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%24/07Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 29%23/08
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.1%Ahead 0/4
3
2
OR 114
16/1
Supreme George silks

Thomas Fearn

Supreme George

6yo Gelding · 11-8

Order Of St George - Dar Dar Supreme (Overbury)

Theo Gillard70%3/6D McCain Jnr60%
113215
6.0

Much improved on the back of a breathing operation, making it 4 wins from 6 starts since beginning of December at Chepstow (2m) this spring. Clearly had an off day at Bangor in May but has been freshened up since.

Class Advantage

28/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par28/121/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par4/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par19/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par2/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par23/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%28/12Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%4/02Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%2/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%23/05
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.6%Ahead 1/4
1
5
OR 122
17/2
Bleu D'enfer silks

N J Clayton

Bleu D'enfer

8yo Gelding · 12-2

Turgeon - Quesotho Royale (Lesotho)

Harry Brown60%−10lbD McCain Jnr80%
829246
5.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

8-y-o who boasts a patchy record but avoided mistakes for once under a patient ride when finding only one too good at Aintree in May. Not built on that since, though, and is passed over despite looking nicely treated.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/0231/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par15/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par15/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par12/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par31/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 1m 7f 214y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%28/02Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%15/04Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%12/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%31/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.4%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 115
12/1
Jet Of Dreams silks

The Stewkley Shindiggers Partnership

Jet Of Dreams

8yo Gelding · 11-9

Jet Away - Lady J D (Gothland)

James Bowen60%3/12W Greatrex60%
41394F
5.0Going 10.0Class ↓2
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Registered a fifth career victory over fences at Sedgefield (2m) this time last year. Not been in same form since and fell early on when last seen at Bangor in May. Has had another breathing operation and could revive back from a break.

Class Advantage

21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/0823/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par30/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par19/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par10/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/11 · mark par19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/04projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%21/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%30/09Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 11%10/11Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%19/04
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.8%Ahead 2/4