6
Hadrian's Wall
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 99
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
83%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |