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15:38 · Plumpton

Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle

2m 4f 116yGood (Good to Firm in Places)Class 53YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav2
OR 91
10/11
Farhh Echo silks

Mrs G Morgan

Farhh Echo

5yo Gelding · 12-3

Farhh - Dulcet (Halling)

Beau Morgan60%1/4−5lbD J Jeffreys80%
880P11
7.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Has turned a corner in the last week, scoring readily at Worcester (2½m) and following up under a penalty down in trip at Newton Abbot on Friday. Clearly dangerous if turned out again quickly in hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage

22/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par22/1011/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 31%22/10Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%28/03Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%10/09Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.7%Ahead 4/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 95
6/1
Aggagio silks

Aura Racing

Aggagio

8yo Gelding · 12-0

Born To Sea - Ravage (Verglas)

Caoilin Quinn3/14G & J Moore80%
827734
4.0Class ↓3

Still a capable Flat performer on his day (down the field last 2 starts). Not disgraced despite failing to settle back over hurdles at Fontwell last time and he remains potentially well treated in this sphere having eased another 2 lb.

Class Advantage

14/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par14/032/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%14/03Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%12/06Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%31/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%28/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.5%Ahead 1/4
3
3
OR 88
7/1
A Tickatickatiming silks

The Bull Boys

A Tickatickatiming

8yo Mare · 11-7

Sixties Icon - Hi Note (Acclamation)

M Goldstein1/15Miss S West
43P454
5.0

Keen-going sort (course winner) who is becoming well treated, though return to this stiffer test probably not what she wants.

Class Advantage

9/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/02 · mark par9/0223/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/02 · mark par16/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%9/02Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%16/03Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%29/06Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%12/07
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.3%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 77
15/2
Anxious Moments silks

Mr John P McManus

Anxious Moments

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Maxios - Cheryls Island (Trans Island)

H Cobden80%C E Longsdon
U069
2.0

Showed little in 3 quick qualifying runs in the spring but type to do much better over longer trips in handicaps given his connections. Market check advised.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/042/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0516/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/05projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m 4f 116y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%18/04Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%2/05Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%16/05
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.8%Ahead 3/3
5
6
OR 81
5/1
Khalk'eau Spigao silks

Mr D S Dennis & Mr John Hw Finch

Khalk'eau Spigao

4yo Gelding · 10-11

Khalkevi - Eau Benite (Coastal Path)

Freddie Gordon60%0/2C Gordon60%
475573
4.0
Cheek pieces

Made his first real impact off a reduced mark when fitted with first-time headgear, finishing third at Fontwell last month, and is not to be taken lightly now he has been eased another 2 lb.

Class Advantage

16/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/1127/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 67%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%16/11Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 33%19/04Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%1/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%28/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.2%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 83
33/1
Bread And Butter silks

High Weald Racing

Bread And Butter

11yo Gelding · 11-2

Westerner - Wells Diamond (Milan)

Freddie Mitchell0/2Cynthia Woods
8P4856
3.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Veteran who seems to be regressing faster than his mark.

Class Advantage

11/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/11 · mark par11/1122/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par16/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par6/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 71%11/11Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%16/03Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%24/04Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%6/05
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.5%Ahead 4/4
6
7
OR 81
25/1
Captain Connor silks

Mr Robert Clarke And Clare Ellam

Captain Connor

4yo Gelding · 10-11

Brave Mansonnien - Darling Point (Dark Angel)

Brendan Powell60%0/2C Ellam
8P7827
4.0

Promising start for this yard when second at Stratford but failed to back that up at Newton Abbot 2 weeks ago, no great surprise given his overall record.

Class Advantage

16/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/1222/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%16/12Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 14%5/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 86%25/08Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%7/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.5%Ahead 3/4
7
8
OR 74
50/1
Porridge silks

Blakesley Partnership

Porridge

6yo Mare · 10-7

Casamento - Boldilocks (King's Theatre)

Oscar Palmer60%0/4−7lbTracey Leeson
P488P5
3.0

Long-standing maiden with little solid form.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par1/1222/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par8/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 67%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%1/12Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 73%8/04Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%23/05Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.4%Ahead 4/4