14:08 · Plumpton

Prestige Security Executive Protection Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 4f 116yGood (Good to Firm in Places)Class 44YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 100
5/6
Premier Fantasy silks

Roy & Louise Swinburne

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Lucky Speed - Strange Bird (Revoque)

S Bowen80%Nick Scholfield70%
125322
6.0Going 9.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Multiple point winner who has matched the pick of his hurdles form back over fences recently, shaping better than previously with cheekpieces fitted when second of 10 in handicap at Stratford (23f, good to firm) just over 2 weeks ago. Obvious claims reverted to hurdling.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0619/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 67%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 88%3/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%19/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%19/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%27/08Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 89%5/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 1/4
2
2
4/1
Akrramm silks

Mr Mickey Bowen

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Too Darn Hot - Sahayeb (Union Rags)

Mr James Murray60%−7lbM Bowen60%
No form5.0Going 8.0
1st Hood +1

Only made the track 4 times for Roger Varian, taking a small step forward when second of 9 on handicap debut at Yarmouth (1¼m, good) when last seen 12 months ago. Hood on for hurdling/yard debut (sold for just 2,500 gns) but worth keeping a close eye on in the betting.

Class Advantage

31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/079/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/1128/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/0816/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places)Dist: 2m 4f 116y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 58%31/07Pos 11 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 11 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 9%9/11Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 82%28/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%16/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.0%Ahead 3/4
3
5
7/1
Golden Garden silks

Jim and Claire Limited

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Medaglia D'oro - Moonlit Garden (Malibu Moon)

James Bowen60%0/1W Greatrex80%
65
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Fair winning handicapper on Flat (stays 1¾m) for Jamie Osborne. Had another breathing operation and showed a bit more than on hurdling debut when fifth of 8 in a Ludlow novice back in March but no better than mid-field in 4 Flat outings since.

Class Advantage

30/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/1230/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 83%Dist: 2m 4f 116y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%30/12Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%1/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%5/06Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%5/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.6%Ahead 1/4
6
3
12/1
Thetype Istitle silks

Mr Mark Boulton

4yo Filly · 10-8

Feel Like Dancing - Western Haven (Affinisea)

C O'Farrell60%D Pipe80%
542179
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Made the frame on 2 of 3 starts in Irish points and put that experience to good use when winning bumper at Stratford on Rules debut in June. Has looked flattered by that in both subsequent outings so needs to get back on track now hurdling. First-time tongue tie applied.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/0624/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/0723/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 67%Dist: 2m 4f 116y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 45%24/07Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 11%23/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.7%Ahead 1/3
4
4
8/1
One Dimensional silks

S W Racing

6yo Mare · 10-11

Frontiersman - Viking Mistress (Bollin Eric)

David Bass70%0/3M Comley
5240
4.0Class ↓4
Hood

Showed plenty of promise in her first 3 starts in bumpers last season (hooded). Simply flying too high in Nickel Coin Mares' National Hunt Flat Race at Aintree when last seen back in the spring and makes her hurdling debut in a reapplied hood.

Class Advantage

7/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/1214/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/027/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/039/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength73%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 25%Dist: 2m 4f 116y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 69%7/12Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%14/02Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 77%7/03Pos 18 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 11%9/04
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.6%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 104
12/1
Rhythm Of Life silks

Mrs G Morgan

5yo Mare · 10-11

Bathyrhon - Rime De Boitron (My Risk)

Mr James King60%T R George60%
971334
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Promising start over hurdles in spring 2025 but ran poorly with a claimer taking over when last of 7 on handicap debut at Tramore (2½m, good to soft) when last seen 11 months ago. Has since left Gordon Elliott and a first-time tongue tie goes on back in maiden company.

Class Advantage

1/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/0310/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par9/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/10projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 60%Dist: 2m 4f 116y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 64%1/03Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 70%10/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%15/05Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%27/05Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%9/10
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.1%Ahead 2/4