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23:26 · Churchill Downs

Race 4 - Claiming

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 74
4/1
Ribadeo silks

Ubaldo Maldonado

Ribadeo

3yo Filly · 8-6

Thousand Words - Jordy's Ready (More Than Ready)

Jaime Torres60%1/2Mark Simms
467100
4.0

Class Advantage

12/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/0329/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par17/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par6/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%12/03Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%29/05Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 18%15/08Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 18%6/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.1%Ahead 2/4
8
2
OR 69
3/1
Tiz Salty silks

Charles Shive

Tiz Salty

5yo Mare · 8-10

Accelerate - Tiz Champ (Tiznow)

Cristian Torres60%0/6Michael Thompson
554545
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

20/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par20/1227/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%20/12Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%19/04Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%5/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%27/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.8%Ahead 2/4
2
Market Fav3
OR 74
2/1
Firebird Suite silks

Haberman, Aaron And Haberman, Victoria

Firebird Suite

3yo Filly · 8-6

Silver State - Jill's Firebird (Birdstone)

Brian Jr Hernandez0/2Jr Thomas Drury,
721663
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

5/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/11 · mark par5/1113/12 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/12 · mark par12/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par20/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%5/11Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%12/02Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%10/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%31/07
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 72
10/1
Voluntold silks

Faron McCubbins

Voluntold

3yo Filly · 8-6

Connect - Taurine (Flatter)

D E Sheehy1/2Troy Newton70%
052315
4.0
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

5/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par5/029/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par9/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par23/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par15/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%5/02Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%9/05Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%3/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.9%Ahead 3/4
7
5
OR 70
9/2
Only After Midnite silks

D'amato, Philip And Owen, Jeff

Only After Midnite

4yo Filly · 8-10

Midnight Storm - Khairiya (Twirling Candy)

Francisco Arrieta1/2Philip D Amato
655135
5.0

Class Advantage

9/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/0822/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par12/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par27/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%9/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%12/12Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%3/04Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%31/07
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.0%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 50
15/1
Pauline's Angel silks

Barry King

Pauline's Angel

4yo Filly · 8-10

Speightster - Classy Justice (Data Link)

Walter Rodriguez60%0/2Barry King
681953
4.0

Class Advantage

3/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par3/0425/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par9/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par25/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%3/04Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%19/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%25/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.6%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 71
8/1
My Sexy Blonde silks

Royal Flush Racing

My Sexy Blonde

5yo Mare · 8-10

Tapiture - Barbette (High Yield)

Rafael Bejarano0/3Alvin Taylor
070705
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

3/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par3/1030/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par22/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par20/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par14/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par14/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par14/03projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%3/10Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%22/11Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%14/02Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%14/03
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.6%Ahead 1/4
1
8
OR 47
20/1
Seek And Find silks

Joseph Medley

Seek And Find

3yo Filly · 8-6

Seeking The Soul - Mine's Perfect (Mineshaft)

Brittany Troxtell−10lbJoseph Medley
8719
2.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

28/11 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a28/1113/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par13/02projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%28/11Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%13/02
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/2