13:30 · Hamilton

Hamilton Park Nursery

5f 7yHeavy (Soft in Places)Class 52YO onlyTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 77
9/4
Space Dreamer silks

Redpost Racing

2yo Filly · 9-11

Space Traveller - Dream Of Joy (Dream Ahead)

Harry Vigors60%1/1−5lbOllie Sangster60%
5511
8.0

Space Traveller filly who is improving quickly, building on her breakthrough Brighton maiden victory when following up in a Bath nursery (5f) 8 days ago. Still looked green then and this stiffer track promises to play to her strengths. Better to come.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/0615/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/0723/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0812/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%1/06Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%15/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%23/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%12/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.4%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 75
4/1
The Resdev Roman silks

N Bradley Racing 29 & Resdev

2yo Filly · 9-9

Holy Roman Emperor - Amerique (American Post)

Joanna Mason1/2M & D Easterby60%
771
6.0Class ↓3

Showed definite promise on first of 2 starts in the spring and was much improved after 3 months off when opening her account at Ripon (5f) 3 weeks ago, in command final 1f and having bit in hand. Type to go on improving now attentions switch to nurseries.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0530/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/051/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength91%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 33%Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%14/05Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%30/05Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.7%Ahead 3/3
6
Value2
OR 71
6/1
Prosperity Angel silks

Hold My Beer Syndicate

2yo Filly · 9-5

Harry Angel - El Hadeeyah (Invincible Spirit)

A Mullen70%1/3B Haslam60%
313
8.0Class ↓2

Showed benefit of her debut experience when off the mark in a 5f Thirsk maiden (5f) in August. Similar form when third under a penalty in a Carlisle novice (6f) 24 days ago and she ought to remain competitive now switched to a nursery.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/077/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0827/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%15/07Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%7/08Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%27/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +53.2%Ahead 2/3
4
4
OR 73
8/1
Pj's Corner silks

Hold My Beer & D Cunha

2yo Colt · 9-7

Kameko - Lamutanaahy (Exceed And Excel)

Tom Marquand70%Dylan Cunha60%
853116
6.0

Improver switched to nurseries, digging deep when following up opening Leicester success at Chepstow (5f, soft) in August. However, again off bridle before most when sixth behind Space Dreamer at Bath (5f) 8 days ago but return to softer ground/switch to stiffer track can see him get closer here.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0518/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%30/05Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 80%1/07Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%29/08Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 44%12/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.2%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 64
5/1
Aura Of Melania silks

Mr Ian Buckley

2yo Filly · 8-12

Naval Crown - When In Doubt (Montjeu)

Mark Winn60%Roger Fell
445322
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Has taken her form up a notch following the drop back to sprinting, posting a good second in a first-time tongue strap in nursery at Catterick (6f) 12 days ago. This looks a sterner assignment, though she's another who cannot be discounted.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%15/06Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 56%14/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%17/08Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 86%8/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 72
6/1
Concert Pitch silks

Mr Keith Brown

2yo Colt · 9-6

Kuroshio - Ilulisset (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Harry RussellB Ellison
622216
7.0Class ↓3

Runner-up 4 times prior to justifying heavy support in emphatic style in a Class 6 nursery at Beverley (5f) last month. Not in same form on back of rise in class when sixth at Thirsk (5f, good to soft) but he still appeals as being on a fair mark and this rates less demanding.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0517/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 38%30/05Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%20/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%5/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.2%Ahead 2/4
3
7
OR 75
12/1
Fantasy Force silks

Jimmy Fyffe And Andy Finneran

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Persian Force - Sunshine Fantasy (Make Believe)

Mikey Sheehy60%0/3A Keatley80%
3500
2.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Shaped well when third in a York novice (5f) that worked out well in the spring but has gone the wrong way in a trio of subsequent outings since, equipped with cheekpieces when well held in a York nursery (6f) 32 days ago. Gelded since and sterner headgear now applied.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/053/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0625/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0719/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength80%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%13/05Pos 5 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 5 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 33%3/06Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%19/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.3%Ahead 1/4