14:48 · Listowel

Kinisla Dairygold Maiden Hurdle

2m 6fGood (Good to Yielding in Places)4YO plusTURF16 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Market FavTop Pick1
2/1
Run Ted Run silks

H O S Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Joshua Tree - Tropical Lilly (Saddlers' Hall)

Paul Townend60%W P Mullins60%
1
10.0

Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Kilbarry Lilly (who stayed this far). Justified support to make a winning start in a 2¼m Galway Festival bumper in late-July, digging deep to see off an in-form one with experience. That form is working out well, and he looks very interesting on hurdles bow.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/07
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%30/07
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.6%Ahead 1/1
6
2
OR 110
11/2
Haveanothertry silks

Always Optimists Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Soldier Of Fortune - Queen Of The Hill (Bob Back)

Mark Walsh60%E McNamara
43423
6.0

Finished last season with back-to-back places in maiden hurdles, latterly finishing 2 lengths behind a next-time-out winner at Navan (2½m, soft) on final start for Gordon Elliott. Probably needs to better that to make winning return, for all Mark Walsh is a positive jockey booking on stable debut.

Class Advantage

28/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/1226/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/03projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places)Dist: 2m 6f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%28/12Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%26/01Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%19/02Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 89%3/03Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%21/03
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 2/4
10
3
7/1
Sharp As Glass silks

G Burke

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Arctic Cosmos - Ballymartintheatre (King's Theatre)

Phillip Enright60%S Curling
121223
5.0

Winning pointer from a good staying family. First-time tongue strap added and ran to a similar level as previously when 3 lengths third in Cork bumper in April (19f, soft). Others arrive with stronger bumper form, however, he should be suited by the switch to hurdling/longer trip on his return.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/0412/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/056/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 67%Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%17/04Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%12/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%6/04
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 1/3
5
4
OR 103
14/1
Goodmancon silks

P J Breen

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Diamond Boy - Kilbarry Marien (Marienbard)

Alan O'Sullivan60%−5lbP Breen
385F34
5.0

In the process of showing improved form when falling 2 out at Limerick (2½m) in July. Not at same level either start since, despite shaping/jumping better when 12 lengths fourth of 9 in Tramore maiden latest. Bit to find at the weights, even with promising claimer taking over.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/1120/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 83%Dist: 2m 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%6/11Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%9/05Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 87%4/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%16/08
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.8%Ahead 3/4
14
6
10/1
Labondance silks

Donal O'Connor

5yo Mare · 11-5

Bande - Bise De Mer (Vendangeur)

Donagh Meyler0/1E Mullins
2583F4
4.0
Tongue strap

Failed to justify support when 11 lengths fourth on return/stable debut at Ballinrobe (2¾m), running below her fair hurdle/chase form in France. Clearly thought capable of better by shrewd operation.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/0512/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 33%Dist: 2m 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%27/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%13/09Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%20/10Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 73%24/08
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.9%Ahead 2/4
1
11
12/1
Beyond Forgiveness silks

W F Treacy

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Libertarian - Beyond Belief (Sadler's Wells)

Cian Quirke60%D H Kelly
P64
4.0

Pulled up sole start in points. Showed more than on hurdling debut 9½ lengths fourth at Ballinrobe (2¼m) last time. Was well positioned in a race where few got into it, though, and he'll need to settle better to make more impact up in trip.

Class Advantage

3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0824/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 71%3/08Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 79%24/08
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +74.6%Ahead 2/2
11
5
7/1
Too Hot To Trot silks

Lucky In Life Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 11-12

El Salvador - Jim's Article (Definite Article)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%H De Bromhead80%
26
2.0

Runner-up in a point last autumn. Showed more ability than the bare result might suggest when beaten 6½ lengths (behind subsequent winner) in a heavy-ground bumper at Limerick in April. Entitled to do better on hurdling debut given his connections/pedigree (half-brother to fairly useful hurdler).

Class Advantage

16/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/04
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places)Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 38%16/04
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -52.0%Ahead 0/1
3
7
10/1
Game Theatre silks

Robert Finnegan

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Leading Light - Maxwells Demon (King's Theatre)

Mike O'Connor60%H De Bromhead60%
414
4.0

Won an ordinary-looking point at the second attempt. Looked more of a stayer when 12¼ lengths fourth of 9 in a Clonmel bumper (2½m, soft) on Rules debut in April. Should benefit from longer trip/switch to hurdles and is in good hands. Engaged 4.02 Navan Saturday.

Class Advantage

2/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/04
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places)Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 63%2/04
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.3%Ahead 0/1
2
8
33/1
Fuusland silks

Michael E O'Shea

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Jet Away - Fu's Island (Turtle Island)

Danny Gilligan60%0/1G Elliott
U4
5.0

Looked far from natural when well-beaten fourth of 9 in a Downpatrick novice (2¼m) in July. Steps up in trip but is probably a handicap project for top yard.

Class Advantage

14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/07
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%14/07
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +62.5%Ahead 1/1
12
13
20/1
Tribal Thunder silks

Dominic Murphy

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Gentlewave - Madame Bleue (Sir Harry Lewis)

J J Slevin60%0/1D Hassett
46395
2.0

Made the frame in points. Did best of those outside of the quartet who dominated the betting when beaten 26½ lengths on debut at Galway. Longer trip out to suit, though he's a more likely type for handicaps.

Class Advantage

7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places)Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 79%7/09
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +79.0%Ahead 1/1
8
9
20/1
Rememberwhat silks

Mrs Siobhain Fahey

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Elusive Pimpernel - Amillionmemories (Jammaal)

Cian Cullinan60%0/1−7lbP G Fahey
462D
4.0

Split a fairly useful pair to finish 1¼-length second on hurdling debut at Kilbeggan (25f). Unsurprisingly didn't translate that to a bumper there last time (later disqualified as rider failed to weigh in). Player if reproducing his initial hurdles form, though clearly isn't one for maximum faith.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/0614/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/078/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/083/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 77%15/06Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%14/07Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 75%8/08Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%3/09
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.8%Ahead 2/4
13
10
66/1
Bobo Buck silks

Sean Joseph Allen

4yo Gelding · 11-9

Capri - Corrieann (Anshan)

Luke Burke Ott−7lbSean Allen
No form3.0

Capri gelding. Half-brother to modest 2½m chase winner Shallow Run. Dam (c117/h114) 2m-2½m hurdle/chase winner out of half-sister to top-class hurdler (stayed 2½m) Fortune And Fame. Yard an unlikely source of a debut winner.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish12th of 1627% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
17
15
250/1
Misty Valentine silks

Knockcon Limited

4yo Filly · 11-2

Success Days - Breaffy House Lady (Shantou)

Michael Kenneally−5lbM Winters60%
P0U
2.0
1st Hood +1

Has made an inauspicious start to her hurdling career. Now in first-time hood over a significantly longer trip.

Class Advantage

3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 67%Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 18%3/08
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 13-18 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 1/1
7
12
33/1
Minella Maverick silks

John Patrick Ryan

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Sholokhov - Carrigeen Lechuga (Beneficial)

Daniel King60%J P Ryan
No form3.0

€55,000 3-y-o, Sholokhov gelding. Closely related to fair hurdler/chaser Diplomatic Ash. More likely to be a longer-term prospect.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish14th of 1613% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
16
16
250/1
Urra Mass Rock silks

Bluewave Syndicate

5yo Mare · 11-5

Shirocco - Tipp On Air (Indian River)

Calum Hogan60%0/2−5lbE Seymour
00
2.0

Has shown little in a pair of maiden hurdles to date.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0623/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 18%14/06Pos 10 · SP 500/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 500/1 | Actual: 10%23/07
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.1%Ahead 2/2
15
14
100/1
Ocovango Lady silks

Rose Walsh

6yo Mare · 11-5

Ocovango - Leeview Lady (Dushyantor)

Mr M J Walsh0/1−7lbBrendan Walsh
PF0
2.0
Tongue strap

Unpromising in points and similar story in a Kilbeggan bumper in June. Unlikely to do better upped markedly in trip for hurdles bow.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/06
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%15/06
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 12-17 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1