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15:08 · Plumpton

Friends & Family Remembering Norman Sharpe Handicap Hurdle

1m 7f 195yGood (Good to Firm in Places)Class 33YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 126
5/2
Mojito Des Mottes silks

Mr John P McManus

Mojito Des Mottes

4yo Gelding · 11-8

Clovis Du Berlais - Magie Des Landes (Maresca Sorrento)

H Cobden80%1/1B Pauling60%
2442P1
7.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Shaped well following a breathing operation when runner-up on handicap bow at Ascot in March. Left behind his comeback in the Summer Hurdle when winning with plenty in hand at Newton Abbot (17f) last time. Potentially useful 4-y-o looks capable of defying a rise in grade here.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/114/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/02 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par29/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 1m 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 67%6/11Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%4/12Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%27/02Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 89%29/03Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.7%Ahead 2/4
4
Value2
OR 120
5/1
Eternal Angel silks

Value Racing - Eternal Angel

Eternal Angel

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Authorized - Earth Affair (Acatenango)

Stan Sheppard70%2/3T Lacey
512132
7.0Going 10.0
Hood

Going the right way under front-running tactics for present yard. Probably should have made it 3 wins from 5 this year in a small-field novice at Market Rasen last time, just failing under a more conservative ride. Could well be more to come on just his second handicap start for Tom Lacey.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/0825/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 83%Dist: 1m 7f 195y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%25/08Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 80%13/06Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%18/07Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 50%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.8%Ahead 2/4
5
3
OR 118
4/1
Nap Hand silks

Goodwin Racing Ltd

Nap Hand

6yo Gelding · 11-2

Fast Company - Dream Sleep (Rip Van Winkle)

Fern O'Brien60%1/1−5lbC Gordon
438221
7.0Going 8.0

Useful Flat performer who doubled his hurdles tally under a good ride from this claimer in a tactical race at Perth (good to firm) last time. Clearly well equipped for small-field handicaps under these conditions, and a 7-lb rise hardly looks insurmountable in the context of his Flat form.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par5/044/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par28/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par15/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 83%Dist: 1m 7f 195y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 46%5/04Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%23/05Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.2%Ahead 2/4
6
4
OR 100
9/2
Gower Prince silks

Mrs Jan Johnson

Gower Prince

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Yorgunnabelucky - Lady Karinga (Karinga Bay)

Benjamin Macey60%0/1−5lbJ & A O'Neill
6P2212
7.0Going 8.0
Hood

Has made a positive start for current yard over fences having not looked 100% last year. Enhanced his record fresh with success at Market Rasen prior to sticking to his task well when 1½-length second at Stratford latest. Probably falls short in bid to exploit 10 lb lower hurdle mark, though.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/074/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par5/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 100%Dist: 1m 7f 195y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%20/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%5/04Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%5/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.2%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 122
33/1
Zillow silks

The Cheeky Pups

Zillow

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Zoffany - Petunia (Pivotal)

Harry Kimber60%Faye Bramley
F007P0
2.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Lost his way for the Willie Mullins yard after completing a cross-code hat-trick in listed handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse in November. Little sign of a revival in 3 starts for current yard, either, finishing well beaten in refitted tongue strap at Cartmel latest.

Class Advantage

30/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/11 · mark par30/1129/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par13/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par4/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par28/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par29/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 1m 7f 195y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%30/11Pos 15 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 15 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 7%Pos 18 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 26%13/03Pos 15 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%28/06Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 10%29/08
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.4%Ahead 4/4