21:37 · Los Alamitos Racecourse

Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market Fav2
OR 106
8/5
Thirsty Rebel silks

Mark Breen

3yo Colt · 8-6

Stay Thirsty - Argyle Pink (Sky Mesa)

Abel Lezcano60%2/10Doug O'Neill60%
143232
7.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

12/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/12 · mark par12/1210/01 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par1/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par4/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par23/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%12/12Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 60%1/03Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%23/05Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 89%30/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.3%Ahead 2/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 105
4/1
The Gypsy Cowboy silks

Chacon, Anthony J , Flores, Victor M , Knapp, Steve R And Lovingier, Terry C

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Stay Thirsty - Akiss Forarose (Rio Verde)

Tiago Pereira60%1/7S Knapp
343414
6.0

Class Advantage

23/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/02 · mark par23/0221/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par24/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%23/02Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%25/04Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%13/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 102
3/1
Lit silks

Lnj Foxwoods

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Straight Fire - Tapwater (Tapit)

Armando Ayuso60%1/1R Baltas60%
17
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/071/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%1/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 1/2
2
4
OR 102
15/1
Naftis silks

Taboada Racing Stables Llc

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Sir Prancealot - Talnor (Mission Impazible)

Kyle FreyGenaro Vallejo
422650
3.0

Class Advantage

7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/0619/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%7/06Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%5/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%2/08Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%22/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.9%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 96
5/1
Unpretentious silks

Coburn, Carolyn, Coburn, Steven And Morgan, Jim

4yo Colt · 8-9

Clubhouse Ride - R Sunday Surprise (Lucky Pulpit)

Edgar PayerasCharles Treece60%
313016
4.0

Class Advantage

6/10 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/1027/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/10 · mark par17/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/11 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par31/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%6/10Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 33%17/11Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%7/08Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 55%31/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.6%Ahead 3/4
4
5
OR 101
5/1
Majestic Palisades silks

Cali Kid Stables

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Majestic Harbor - Palisadesprincess (Indian Charlie)

Armando Aguilar3/17Paul Aguirre
254437
4.0

Class Advantage

25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0424/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par28/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%25/04Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 25%28/06Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%24/07Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%21/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -38.9%Ahead 0/4
7
7
OR 82
30/1
J T's Watch silks

Alonso Angel Vallejo

8yo Gelding · 8-9

Bold Chieftain - Only A Moment (Bertrando)

Francisco Orduna Rojas60%Genaro Vallejo
183505
4.0

Class Advantage

4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/042/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par24/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par8/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%4/04Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%24/05Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%24/07Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%8/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.6%Ahead 2/4