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22:00 · Churchill Downs

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight

1m 110yGoing TBC3YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 92
7/2
She's On A Roll silks

Pollard, Kevin J And Menard, David

She's On A Roll

3yo Filly · 8-8

Charlatan - Summersault (Rock Hard Ten)

Cristian Torres60%0/4Sarah Shaffer
340225
6.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/0917/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par3/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par24/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%6/09Pos 4 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 10 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%18/07Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%23/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 2/4
4
2
OR 94
4/1
Altadena silks

Flicka Racing, Llc

Altadena

3yo Filly · 8-8

Bolt D'oro - Cat Walk (Union Rags)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%0/2Doug O'Neill
25
4.0

Class Advantage

12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a12/079/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%12/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%9/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.1%Ahead 2/2
7
3
OR 85
6/1
Butterfly Jasmine silks

Keith Plaisance

Butterfly Jasmine

3yo Filly · 8-8

City Of Light - Passion Flower (Tapit)

Victor Carrasco0/2Wayne Catalano
573
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a1/056/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/079/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%1/05Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%6/07Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 82%9/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.2%Ahead 2/3
8
5
OR 83
15/1
Merry An silks

Josh Asche

Merry An

3yo Filly · 8-8

Runhappy - Hoi An (Successful Appeal)

Rafael Bejarano0/2Wallace Howard
93
4.0

Class Advantage

13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a13/0618/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%13/06Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%18/07
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.1%Ahead 2/2
6
Market Fav4
OR 79
5/2
Social Scene silks

St Elias Stable And Winstar Farm Llc

Social Scene

3yo Filly · 8-8

Kingman - How (Galileo)

Axel ConcepcionWilliam Walden
5
2.0

Class Advantage

8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a8/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%8/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.2%Ahead 0/1
1
6
OR 86
4/1
Roiling silks

Tom Walters

Roiling

5yo Mare · 8-12

Omaha Beach - Pretty Zippy (City Zip)

Luan Machado0/1Darrin Miller
932425
5.0

Class Advantage

9/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/11 · mark par9/1113/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par7/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par7/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%9/11Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%7/03Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 91%9/08Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%30/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.4%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 77
30/1
Kastria silks

Dean Caras

Kastria

3yo Filly · 8-8

Cairo Prince - Joyful Dreams (Kitten's Joy)

Jaime Torres60%Elias Lopez
0
2.0

Class Advantage

9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a9/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%9/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 1/1
5
8
6/1
The Look silks

Bradley Thoroughbreds, Northcutt, Allen, Cambron Equine, Llc, Walsh, Jeff, Starr, Kent, Starr, Sara, Hancock, Scott And Dervenis, Steve

The Look

3yo Filly · 8-8

Volatile - Lovely Carina (Pioneerof The Nile)

Ben CurtisBrendan Walsh
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 80% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength68%