IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. hamilton
  3. race-6

15:30 · Hamilton

Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

1m 1f 35yHeavy (Soft in Places)Class 53YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 67
3/1
Tee Aitch Aye silks

Mr Kevin Kerr

Tee Aitch Aye

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Fascinating Rock - Toni Baby (Mawatheeq)

A Mullen70%1/12I Jardine60%
076321
8.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Fallen in the weights and back in very good form of late with the cheekpieces added and readily doubled his tally in 10-runner handicap at Hamilton (1m, soft, 7/4) 18 days ago by 3¾ lengths from Aurelune. Not taken lightly in follow-up bid from a 7 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/054/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%15/05Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%17/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 90%10/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 64
25/1
Sogniamo silks

Aurelius Racing

Sogniamo

3yo Filly · 9-4

Oasis Dream - Grace And Favour (Montjeu)

C J Whiteley60%−5lbD O'Meara100%
817568
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +21st Tongue Strap +2

Standout effort when winning C&D novice (80/1) on stable debut on reappearance in May. Needs a revival in first-time tongue strap and cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0827/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%14/08Pos 1 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%19/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%11/08Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.8%Ahead 1/4
1
5
OR 69
6/1
Draupnir silks

Silent B Partnership

Draupnir

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Golden Horn - Avongrove (Tiger Hill)

Joanna Mason0/2M & D Easterby
537052
5.0Going 8.0

Placed twice at the start of the season at Thirsk and Hamilton and bounced back when ¾-length second of 7 to Yermanthere at Ripon (1¼m, good to soft) 19 days ago. Holds place claims again.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/054/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 5 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 56%15/05Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%27/06Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%8/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 60
4/1
Motawaared silks

Mr B Jordan

Motawaared

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Mohaather - Papaya (Teofilo)

P Mulrennan0/7J S Goldie60%
654222
7.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Quirky sort who is firmly knocking on the door of a first success. Again responded well to cheekpieces when only foiled by a game rival at Musselburgh 8 days ago. ANother excellent effort when second to Empirestateofmind at Ayr on Friday.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par22/0620/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%22/06Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%10/08Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%12/09Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%18/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav7
OR 64
11/4
Empirestateofmind silks

Aire Valley Campers Ltd

Empirestateofmind

8yo Gelding · 9-13

Starspangledbanner - Adore (Oasis Dream)

Jason Hart60%5/28J & S Quinn60%
995001
6.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Won twice last season and cashed in on drop in grade at Ayr on Friday. Must be considered if allowed to take his chance.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/0619/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%4/06Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%17/07Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%6/09Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.7%Ahead 4/4
9
3
OR 61
16/1
Port Darwin silks

Kingsley Park 42

Port Darwin

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Australia - Porthilly (Pivotal)

Rowan Scott60%C Johnston
155148
5.0

Opened his account for the season over C&D with the headgear discarded and added to his tally at Brighton (1¼m) last month. Never made any impact after a slow start at Redcar (1¼m, good) 11 days ago.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/0622/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%11/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%21/08Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%9/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.4%Ahead 1/4
3
4
OR 64
12/1
Epidavros silks

Star Racing

Epidavros

5yo Mare · 9-9

Magna Grecia - Piscean Dream (Dream Ahead)

Connor Beasley60%0/1K Scott70%
443548
5.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Took this in 2024. Largely in good nick this season until coming in last of 8 in handicap at Carlisle (9f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Blinkers go on for first time with bounce back required.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/0417/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 73%26/04Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%8/06Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%11/08Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -35.0%Ahead 1/4
8
8
OR 61
8/1
Bradbury silks

Clarendon Thoroughbred Racing

Bradbury

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Ghaiyyath - Glimmer Of Peace (Intikhab)

Billy Loughnane80%0/1E Bethell60%
211636
4.0Class ↓5
Eye CoverTongue strap

Not straightforward but recorded 1¼m wins at Leicester and Wetherby in June. Sixth of 8 in handicap at Nottingham (1¼m, good to firm, 7/2) in August. Has Loughnane back in the saddle.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/058/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 67%30/05Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%15/06Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%26/07Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%11/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.1%Ahead 1/4
7
9
OR 63
25/1
Ibn Altheeb silks

Let's Be Lucky Racing 39

Ibn Altheeb

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Alkumait - Mixora (Mizzen Mast)

S H James70%0/1I Jardine60%
603400
3.0
Blinkers

Sole success came when fitted with first-time cheekpieces at Wolverhampton last autumn. Made the frame twice for this yard but has been well held on last 2 starts though will at least be suited by this drop back in trip.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/0422/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 1m 1f 35y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%12/04Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 78%9/06Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%8/08Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 18%2/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.7%Ahead 3/4