13:18 · Listowel

Kinisla Charleville Cheese 3-Y-O Hurdle

2mGood (Good to Yielding in Places)3YO onlyTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
9/4
Hello Garda silks

Mrs Nanette Wheatley

3yo Gelding · 11-4

Supremacy - Urban Beauty (Sea The Stars)

Paddy Hanlon60%1/2−5lbJ J Hanlon60%
31U
6.0
Cheek pieces

Left hurdling debut form behind when springing a 40/1 surprise in a juvenile at Uttoxeter in July, beating Vietnorm by 3¼ lengths. The third has franked the form since but unseated at start at Newton Abbot when attempting to follow up last time and must defy a penalty.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/0622/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 33%Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 21%1/06Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%27/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%21/07Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%26/07
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.4%Ahead 2/4
7
Market Fav2
6/4
Minella Buoy silks

John J Nallen

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Golden Horn - Cubswin (Zamindar)

Daniel King60%0/3J Nallen
222
5.0Going 7.0
Hood

Hasn't set the world alight on the Flat, including last time but has finished runner-up on all 3 starts in juvenile maiden hurdles, though was some way below his previous efforts at Killarney when last seen in this sphere in August. Sets the standard at his best but needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/101/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 67%Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%5/10Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 62%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%17/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 90%20/08Pos 10 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 10 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.8%Ahead 3/4
2
3
16/1
Chairmanforlife silks

Robcour

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Galiway - Fille Du Septembre (Choisir)

Ricky DoyleMrs J Harrington80%
P
3.0

Ran to a borderline fair level on the first 2 of his 3 starts on the Flat at up to 12.8f but made a discouraging debut in this sphere at Killarney recently.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/048/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0529/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 50%Dist: 2m · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%15/04Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%8/05Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%29/07
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.2%Ahead 3/3
11
4
14/1
Wipeawayyourtears silks

Bredwinner Syndicate

3yo Filly · 10-5

Alkumait - Elshabakiya (Diktat)

Alan King60%−7lbM Butler60%
No form4.0
1st Hood +1

Modest handicapper on the Flat, who won 1½m event at Fairyhouse in June. Not so good in that sphere since, but the fact she's a half-sister to a winning hurdler in Cumberland River gives hope that she'll have a future in this sphere. Worth a market check.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/093/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 67%Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%18/09Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%18/05Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 38%13/07Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.1%Ahead 2/4
3
7
20/1
Connor Of Mali silks

Mrs W M Fitzpatrick

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Sands Of Mali - El Mirage (Elusive Quality)

Phillip Enright60%0/1L J Archdeacon
P9U4
3.0

Showed first form over hurdles when 23½ lengths fourth of 11 to Sea Of Dubka in 3-y-o maiden event at Killarney last time, albeit without suggesting he'll prove up to winning one of these events.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/1017/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/0720/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 10%9/10Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 27%17/07Pos 4 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 70%20/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.8%Ahead 3/3
4
6
10/1
Danny Power silks

M A Ryan

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Blue Bresil - Minnie Dahill (Finsceal Fior)

Mark Walsh60%J Queally
No form3.0

Blue Bresil gelding. Dam, 2m hurdle winner (stayed 2½m), also 17f winner on Flat, half-sister to useful hurdler (stays 3m) Gaoth Chuil out of useful 2m/2½m hurdle winner Elyaadi. Is almost certainly one for the longer term given connections.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish6th of 1150% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength47%
6
5
25/1
Dunmore silks

Dunmore Partnership

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Palace Pier - Alpine Snow (Verglas)

Danny Mullins60%A Mullins
No form2.0

Half-brother to several Flat winners, including the smart middle-distance performer Armande, and out of an 11.5f listed winner, herself a half-sister to 2 winning hurdlers headed by the useful Maxim Gorky. Unfancied when last of 8 on Flat debut and market should again prove informative.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/05
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 100%Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%10/05
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1
9
9
14/1
Julie's Moon silks

Three Hares Racing Syndicate

3yo Filly · 10-5

Sea Moon - Dani Theatre (King's Theatre)

John ShinnickMs M Mullins
No form3.0

Sea Moon filly. Half-sister to fairly useful hurdler Morricone. Dam, bumper winner, half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser (stayed 21f) Encore Champs and fair hurdle winner/fairly useful chase winner (stayed 3m) African Dance out of useful 2m hurdle winner.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish8th of 1130% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength26%
8
8
6/1
Sonny Corleone silks

Gordon Elliott

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Elzaam - Upper Silesian (Lawman)

Sam EwingG Elliott
No form3.0

Showed fair form at up to 1¼m on the Flat and could hardly be in better hands now turning his attention to hurdling. Interesting.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/1128/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 20%Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 31%26/11Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 77%28/01Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%29/05Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%12/07Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 11%5/08
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.1%Ahead 2/4
10
10
20/1
Premier Princess silks

T&M Partnership

3yo Filly · 10-5

Ten Sovereigns - Week End (Selkirk)

Philip Donovan60%D Hogan60%
No form2.0
Tongue strap

Very little impact in a handful of maidens on the Flat at trips ranging from 1m to 1½m.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0415/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in Places) · 40%Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 56%3/04Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 23%15/04Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%8/05Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%1/06Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.4%Ahead 4/4
5
11
25/1
Did Tell silks

Mark McDonagh

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Shirocco - Blondes No More (Milan)

Mark McDonaghS O O'Brien
No form3.0

Third foal: dam modest 2m hurdle winner (stayed 2½m). Yard aren't known for their winning debutants.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish11th of 110% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%