17:15 · Belmont Park

Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming

7fGoing TBC3YO plusTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 101
9/2
Fond Farewell silks

Sullivan, John, A

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Caravaggio - County Clare (Uncle Mo)

Ricardo Jr Santana60%William Walden
1521
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/0618/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/075/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par5/026/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/03projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%18/07Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 83%5/02Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%6/03
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.6%Ahead 3/4
4
Value2
OR 102
5/1
Ice Chocolat silks

JAMES RICCIO

9yo Gelding · 9-0

Goldikovic - Amor Chocolat (Northern Afleet)

Kendrick Carmouche60%0/2Linda Rice
431326
5.0Class ↓5Going 7.0

Class Advantage

8/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par8/0226/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par17/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par4/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%8/02Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%17/05Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%23/08Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.9%Ahead 1/4
8
3
OR 104
6/1
Final Verdict silks

Mogauro, Jr , Patrick And Mogauro, James

6yo Horse · 8-12

Finale - Premier Roma (Burning Roma)

A Fresu60%Edward Barker
322384
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/0915/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par4/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%27/09Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%25/04Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 82%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%11/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%4/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 1/4
3
8
OR 95
6/1
Bridle A Butterfly silks

Sanford Goldfarb

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Country House - Sly Storm (Storm Cat)

Samuel MarinB Cox60%
730543
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

16/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par16/0216/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par24/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par7/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par9/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par7/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%16/02Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%24/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 70%9/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%7/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.9%Ahead 2/4
9
5
OR 95
8/1
War Stride silks

Daigneault Thoroughbreds

6yo Gelding · 8-12

Tamarkuz - Mudreqah (Seeking The Gold)

Joel Rosario60%George Weaver
853323
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/0825/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par24/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%30/08Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%24/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%18/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%15/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 2/4
5
4
OR 101
10/1
Run Curtis Run silks

Paterpop Racing And Three Crowns Farm

7yo Horse · 8-12

Summer Front - My Magic Moment (Forest Wildcat)

Junior Alvarado60%1/2Fernando Abreu
824445
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

22/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/12 · mark par22/1226/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par4/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%22/12Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%16/05Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%23/08Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%4/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.5%Ahead 1/4
1
6
OR 98
9/2
Attfield silks

Rainbow's End Racing Stable Llc And West Paces Racing Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Vekoma - Graceful Witch (Street Boss)

Edgard ZayasThomas Morley
131793
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a29/083/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par7/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par22/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par3/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%29/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%7/11Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%3/04Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%16/05
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.5%Ahead 1/4
7
Market Fav7
OR 96
7/2
Candytown silks

Calumet Farm

4yo Colt · 8-12

Speightstown - Candymakesmesmile (Candy Ride)

Jose Lezcano60%Todd Pletcher
144644
5.0

Class Advantage

30/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/0828/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par1/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%30/08Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 70%1/11Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%11/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%15/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -41.1%Ahead 0/4
6
9
OR 85
20/1
John Jay silks

The Dutch Racing Stables

7yo Gelding · 8-12

Hard Spun - Taper This (Sky Mesa)

Luis Rivera Jr60%Patrick McBurney
425234
5.0

Class Advantage

9/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/0531/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par30/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%9/05Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%21/06Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%16/08Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%30/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 2/4