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2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 89

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 12323/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Saratoga?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength75%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20264th7/163%50%-0.13