4
A. P. Slingshot
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 67
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Starter Allowance · 7f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |