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Dia Por Dia

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 68

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Starter Allowance · 7f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Aqueduct 21/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f 12221/11C9C7 @ Aqueduct 09/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 81 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 81 par9/01C7OR 81C8 @ Saratoga 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 63 · 1m Slo 126 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 63 par2/09C8OR 63projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Saratoga?1st2nd−1
2026-01-09Aqueduct?5th5th0
2025-11-21Aqueduct?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/119/012/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
09/01/20265th7/491%20%-0.71
02/09/20261st10/382%100%+0.18