2
Furry Fox
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 70
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Starter Allowance · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |