6
Ishkabibble
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 55
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Starter Allowance · 7f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |