7
Celestial Glaze
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |