Elysian Meadows
5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2024 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 14/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 12/04/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 17/05/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |