Leftembehind
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |