4
Salming
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 81
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |