Shattuck
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 26/06/2025 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 57% | -0.39 |
| 04/07/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |