9
Tapwrits Temper
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |