11
Arabian Power
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |