12

Fleet N Ready

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 74

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength72%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 29/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS29/08C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 75 par2/10C6OR 75C6 @ Aqueduct 15/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 83 par15/11C6OR 83C6 @ Aqueduct 10/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 80 par10/01C6OR 80C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 77 par11/06C9OR 77projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-01-10Aqueduct?6th3rd+3
2025-11-15Aqueduct?10th7th+3
2025-10-02Belmont At The Big A?4th1st+3
2025-08-29Saratoga?9th6th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/082/1015/1110/0111/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20259th33/10%0%0.00
02/10/20254th25/10%67%+0.67
15/11/202510th25/10%10%+0.10
10/01/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
11/06/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00