No Compromise

3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 94

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼3

Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-12	Belmont At The Big A	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2026-04-19	Gulfstream	?	2nd	-1th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength28%

Delivery trend -25.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
19/04/2026	2nd	11/4	86%	80%	-0.06
12/06/2026	4th	9/4	88%	57%	-0.31