3
Nod To Tran
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 60
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/12/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/03/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |