10
Oligarch
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 65
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 24/10/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/12/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 4/5 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |