Perretti
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2024-11-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2024-10-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2023-12-13 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2023-11-24 | Dundalk | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2023 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 13/12/2023 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 92% | -0.03 |
| 18/10/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 30/11/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |