7

Turbo Launch

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 83

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Kentucky Downs 10/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS10/09C6C6 @ Churchill Downs 26/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 77 par26/10C6OR 77C6 @ Fair Grounds 27/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 84 par27/11C6OR 84C7 @ Fair Grounds 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 91 par22/03C7OR 91C9 @ Churchill Downs 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 91 par29/04C9OR 91C9 @ Churchill Downs 21/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 92 par21/06C9OR 92C9 @ Saratoga 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 7f 122 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 86 par16/08C9OR 86projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-06-21Churchill Downs?10th10th0
2026-04-29Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-03-22Fair Grounds?2nd0th+2
2025-11-27Fair Grounds?6th3rd+3
2025-10-26Churchill Downs?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0922/0316/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20256th10/147%55%+0.07
26/10/20257th10/147%40%-0.07
27/11/20256th5/174%55%-0.19
22/03/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
29/04/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
21/06/202610th12/137%18%-0.19
16/08/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03