14
Fire Marshal
2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +64.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |