8
Freedom Charge
2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 76
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +18.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |