13

Mendel

2yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 52

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#16

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 12312/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 06/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 52 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 52 par6/08C6OR 52projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Saratoga?11th11th0
2026-07-12Saratoga?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -59.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
06/08/202611th14/126%0%-0.26