3
Never Before
2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 69
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -13.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |