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4

Caddiemaster

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 81

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fas 118 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 80 par30/08C9OR 80C9 @ Laurel Park 12/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 123 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 71 parC8 @ Aqueduct 28/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 79 · 1m1f 120 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 79 par28/12C8OR 79C5 @ Aqueduct 04/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m1f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 76 parC7 @ Aqueduct 15/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m 126 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 80 par15/03C7OR 80C5 @ Aqueduct 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 81 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 81 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 79 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 79 par9/06C5OR 79C5 @ Finger Lakes 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 1m70y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Saratoga 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 77 · 1m1f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 77 par16/08C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Saratoga?1st0th+1
2026-07-22Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2026-06-09Finger Lakes?2nd1st+1
2026-04-25Aqueduct?6th5th+1
2026-03-15Aqueduct?4th5th−1
2026-02-04Aqueduct?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/084/029/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength67%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20253rd3/184%67%-0.18
12/10/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
28/12/20252nd9/488%83%-0.05
04/02/20264th11/271%50%-0.21
15/03/20264th11/893%50%-0.43
25/04/20266th9/488%0%-0.88
09/06/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
22/07/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
16/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39